A Historic Opportunity For Israel Or A Dangerous New Threat To The Jewish State?

The dark October 7th attack, a horrific act of terror aimed at Israel's destruction, triggered a chain of events that has - controversially - significantly weakened the Shiite axis. This axis, led by Iran since 1979, has long posed a threat to regional stability and the security of Israel and its allies. Despite being the worst day for the Jewish nation since the Holocaust, Israel’s fierce and determined response to this barbaric attack, on no less than seven fronts, exposed the vulnerability of the Axis’s key components. With the elimination of key figures like Haniyeh, Def, and Sinwar from Hamas, and Nasrallah from Hezbollah, along with the fall of the Assad regime and the Israeli Air Force devastative attack on Iranian soil, the Axis has been dealt a devastating blow. This has created a power vacuum in the region, raising questions about the future of Iran's regional ambitions.

For Israel, especially with the approaching second term of the Trump presidency, this development offers a unique opportunity to reshape the regional landscape. With the axis weakened (some will argue agonizingly), Israel can work with regional partners to establish a new security architecture that prioritizes stability and peace based on mutual interests. While Israel understands that Syrian rebels may not share its ideological values, this could involve bolstering alliances with moderate Arab states and pursuing diplomatic initiatives to address long-standing conflicts.

However, the situation remains fragile. The aftermath of the October 7th attack and the subsequent collapse of the Assad regime could lead to increased instability and the rise of extremist groups. While Israel must remain vigilant and prepared to address potential threats, its recent military successes against Hamas in the South, Hezbollah in Lebanon, Shiite militias in Iraq and Syria, the Houthis in Yemen, and Iran’s regional ambitions have sent a clear message to the Middle East: “Israel is open to peace, but will not shy away from defending itself when needed.”

Ultimately, the events of recent months have presented Israel with a historic opportunity. By seizing this moment, Israel can play a decisive role in shaping a more secure and prosperous Middle East. The foreseeable future will tell us where the wind blows, specifically which path will be chosen by Al-Jolani, the Syrian rebels’ leader. Either way, we are living through historic days for Israel, the Middle East, and the entire world. May they also bring our 100 hostages back home soon.

Photo credit: Erez Kashi - Prime Minister Bebe Netanyahu and Mike Driquez